For those familiar with Syd Field's screenwriting paradigm, we have arrived at Plot Point 1 with President George Bush and Prime Minister Nouri Al-Maliki signing the “Declaration of Principles for a Long-Term Relationship of Cooperation and Friendship”. There is now no turning back for the U.S. (protagonist) in Iraq and the first act has come to a close. The second act opens with the rising action of Ms Benazir Bhutto's assassination.
Had she won the upcoming election in Pakistan, the relative safe harbor provided al-Qaeda by President Pervez Musharraf would have been jeopardized as she had shown herself to be effective in dealing with them. The assassination ensures a continuation of the status quo. President Bush has spoken out for keeping the election on schedule, which ensures a Musharraf victory inasmuch as Ms Bhutto's party will be unlikely to replace her with a viable candidate in the coming days. This means that al-Qaeda can be counted on for actions that can be used to leverage further acts contributing to the rising action leading us to the Midpoint (aka Page 60), which is bound to be a corker.
The old Hollywood moguls couldn't have written it any better.
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